Sunday, October 28, 2012

Week 8 NFL Picks

Sorry about the delat this week (& the lack of NCAA or Thursday Night picks), again, time constraints...

But here goes... Without graphics...

~~~

WEEK 9 NCAA PICKS (official)


no picks offered
 
 
2012 NCAA Picks (after week 8): 13-4-0


~~~


NFL THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
 
Tampa Bay at Minnesota ~ 0 units ~ no pick made
 
~~~

2012 NFL Picks (YTD regular season picks aggregate): 54-46-2
2012 NFL Picks (YTD regular season 'unit picks' aggregate differential): (-15)
2012 NFL Picks (YTD regular season 'exotics' differential): (+0)
 
2012 NFL Picks (week 1): 6-9-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 2): 8-5-2
2012 NFL Picks (week 3): 7-9-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 4): 11-4-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 5): 7-7-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 6): 8-6-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 7): 7-6-0

*ALL picks ATS [against the spread]
 
 
SUNDAY GAMES
 
 MIAMI (+1) at. NY Jets ~ 1 unit
INDIANAPOLIS (+3.5) at Tennessee ~ 2 units
NY GIANTS (-1) at Dallas ~ 0 units
PHILADELPHIA (-3) vs. Atlanta ~ 2 units
CLEVELAND (+3) vs. San Diego ~ 0 units
GREEN BAY (-14) vs. Jacksonville ~ 0 units
OAKLAND (+1) at Kansas City ~ 0 units
CHICAGO (-8) vs. Carolina ~ 0 units
WASHINGTON (+4) at Pittsburgh ~ 1 unit
DETROIT (-1.5) vs. SEATTLE ~ 0 units
ST. LOUIS (+7.5) vs. New England ~ 0 units
NEW ORLEANS (+6.5) at Denver ~ 1 unit
ARIZONA (+7) vs. San Francisco
 
I had Indy the Cleveland Browns & 3.5 vs. Indy last week for 4 units... Cleveland misses an extra point, & their receiver dropps the game winning pass in the end zone because he runs into the sunlight the second the ball gets to his hands... Indy wins by 4...
 
So I feel the football gods owe me something here...
 
The Philly line is interesting because it has moved from 2.5 to 3... I'm taking Philly because even though you have to lay 3, you're only laying it at (105), while you're paying (-125) to get 3 with Atlanta... A lot of money line chips are on the undefeated Falcons (81%/+120), so the house would like to see the Eagles hang them with their first loss... It's the 2nd most heavily wagered game on the board after New England/St. Louis & just ahead of Dallas/NYG...
 
The quick & dirty is that the 'usual suspects' New England, Green Bay, & in this case, Atlanta are getting heavy action as public 'locks'... If all those games go the public's way, you'd probably have to reduce exposure to either the Giants or the Saints (who are drawing most attention in the later timeslots)...
 

 ~~~
 
 
EXOTIC PROPS