Week 9 NFL Picks

Pretty "underwhelming" week last week... Truly uninspired... All season ~ it feels like I'm just meandering around the .500 level... The only way to "break through" is to get a correct call (or three) on some HIGH UNIT games... (While I'm above .500 on 'picks', I'm (-16) on UNIT picks, which basically translates to -$1,760 on a mythical $10,000 playing season bankroll... Thus far, I have not made even one 5 unit pick on any game (& have also avoided  making a "pick of the month" play for either September or October)... Just a couple of high unit picks (which I've said ~ I've avoided could easily turn things around)... I'm trying to be patient here...

Usually (for me), those high unit plays come when there is a clear "bias" (in that the public has totally lost faith in one team [positive or negative])... Those are 'situations' you can exploit, but there is so much 'parity' in the NFL this year [just look at the records & standings], OR, the TOP & STRUGGLING teams aren't the usual suspects... This week is a perfect example... The Falcons are undefeated & the Dallas Cowboys are led by a QB [Romo] who is a perennial underachiever, leads the league [by 3] in interceptions thrown [three more than even Cleveland Browns rookie Brandon Weeden]... & the Cowboys are missing their top RB, & have wideouts that are distracted with injuries, off field problems, & 'butterfingers'... YET ~ the public still hasn't quit on the Cowboys [either that ~ or they just can't get totally on board the Falcons]... I'm not saying they 'should' or 'shouldn't'... I'm just saying that situations like that are what this total handicapping season has been about this year...

On top of that ~ there don't seem to be many underachieving 'stinkers' out there... Case in point ~ the Saints... Now, I did not pick them to make the playoffs this year (a POV which was a 'minority' at the beginning of the season)... But they continue to be backed by the public [even this week vs. the Eagles, who are another underachieving team]...

I don't know what to say... I'm going to TRY to put some more units on some games this week (simply because I think it's "GO" time)... IOW ~ It's time for the NFL 'elite' to start separating themselves from the dredges... That's not usually my style of picking... But it seems to be the best option at the moment...

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WEEK 10 NCAA PICKS (official)

I'm looking at the following games... Colorado, Maryland, UTSA, South Alabama, Tulane, Indiana

 

 

2012 NCAA Picks (after week 9): 13-4-0

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NFL THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

 

Kansas City (+7.5) at San Diego ~ 0 units

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2012 NFL Picks (YTD regular season picks aggregate): 60-53-2

2012 NFL Picks (YTD regular season 'unit picks' aggregate differential): (-16)

2012 NFL Picks (YTD regular season 'exotics' differential): (+0)

 

2012 NFL Picks (week 1): 6-9-0

2012 NFL Picks (week 2): 8-5-2

2012 NFL Picks (week 3): 7-9-0

2012 NFL Picks (week 4): 11-4-0

2012 NFL Picks (week 5): 7-7-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 6): 8-6-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 7): 7-6-0
2012 NFL Picks (week 8: 6-7-0

*ALL picks ATS [against the spread]
 

 

SUNDAY GAMES

 

CINCINNATI (+3.5) vs. Denver ~ 0 units
GREEN BAY (-10) vs. Arizona ~ 0 units
*MIAMI (-1.5) at Indianapolis ~ 1 unit
BALTIMORE (-3.5) at Cleveland ~ 2 units
BUFFALO (+10.5) at Houston ~ 2 units
CAROLINA (+3) at Washington ~ 0 units
DETROIT (-3.5) at Jacksonville ~ 1 unit
CHICAGO (-5) at Tennessee ~ 1 unit
SEATTLE (-4) vs. Minnesota ~ 0 units
*OAKLAND (-1.5) vs. Tampa Bay ~ 2 units
NY GIANTS (-3) vs. Pittsburgh ~ 0 units
DALLAS (+4) at Atlanta ~ 5 units
NEW ORLEANS (-3) vs. Philadelphia ~ 0 units
 

*a PICK CHANGE vs. earlier in the week...

 

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EXOTIC PROPS