Fantasy Sports Nation - 2011 NFL Picks - Week 8

2011 NFL Picks (YTD regular season aggregate): 54-42-3
2011 NFL Picks (YTD regular season 'unit picks' aggregate differential): (+22)

2011 NFL Picks (YTD regular season 'exotics' differential): (+3)

2011 NFL Picks (week 8): 8-5-0

2011 NFL (week 8 'unit picks' differential): (+7)


*all picks 'ATS' (against the spread)

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PREVIEW: I had a huge week last week (10-3)... It wasn't as profitable (+6) as it could have been with that kind of result, but nevertheless, it was a solid week of 'handicapping'... Actually, it could have been 10-2-1 (depending on which line you got with the Browns - Seahawks), but I booked it as a loss as I'd taken the Seahawks at 2.5...

After I have a big week, I tend to get cautious... What's ironic here though is that Vegas pretty well got hammered last week... They needed Jacksonville (wink wink) to cover on Monday Night Football so as to avoid boarding up the windows & moving to Wall Street & K street to try their hands as bankers & politicians...

Withouit further ado, I'll get going here... I'll just take the games one by one (as no great 'feeling' has emerged yet - other than to say that for 'reversion to mean-ists' the public might be in trouble vs. the House)... Be careful...

WEEK 8 NFL PICKS

BYE WEEK: Atlanta, Chicago, Green Bay, Oakland, New York Jets, Tampa Bay

EARLY GAMES

 Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (1:00 EDT)

Line: Titans by 9

This is the last weekend of the month, & many of you are used to me publishing a PICK OF THE MONTH... I kept waiting for the right game & nothing has really appeared... So a thought occurred to me...

There is a ttrend in the NFL going back a long time that taking 'winless teams' (& the points) has a pretty lucrative payout percentage... The problem is, you could have used that strategy last week (taking the Colts, Dolphins, & Rams) & got your booty kicked... In any case, the longer this rubber band stretches, the more dynamic the snapback might be...

This week the Colts are at Tennessee, while the Dolphins are in the Meadowlands, & the Rams host the Saints...

The Colts usually might be one of the 'automatic' picks to cover in this spot (especially after suffering a 62-7 blowout at the Saints on prime time television)... There is another great trend that teams coming off a 25+ point loss have a high cover percentage rate in their following game... The problem here is that the Titans also got blown out (by the Texans)... So that particular edge gets tossed out...

The Titans haven't got CJ2K (more like CJ20) going... Who knows why?... They seem to have suffered badly from the loss of Kenny Britt... Moreover, they're running into hungry teams of late (Steelers - Texans)... Perhaps NONE are hungrier than the Colts (for a win), but you never know... I've been saying all year long that Jim Irsay is a scumbag (& I have no doubt in my mind that the memo is out to keep the team in the running for the "Suck for Luck" sweepstakes)... You can almost tell by the body language of Reggie Wayne, Robert Mathis & company... & WTF with Dallas Clark getting ZERO catches?

Curtis Painter seems to have one target only (Pierre Garcon)... I just don't know & don't really trust this team AT ALL... However - 9 points are a lot of points... They can easily LOSE & still backdoor cover... The public is lukewarm on the Titans (58%)...

What I'm going to do is go with the Colts in a OCTOBER PICK OF THE MONTH scenario... But what that means is that you'd have to take the DOLPHINS, RAMS, & COLTS all for 6 units each (that's 18 units of capital)... My guess (hope) is that at least two of them will cover, but I can't quite figure out which ones (until I see where Carl Cheffers, Scott Green, & Jerome Boger are calling games)...

COLTS for (above mentioned units [together with RAMS, DOLPHINS])

 Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (1:00 EDT)

Line: Texans by 9.5

So... Jacksonville did "better than expected" against the Ravens on MNF and the Las Vegas Sportsbooks avoided a bloodbath... How fortunate!

The question here is can they play that well on 6 days rest?...

Houston doesn't have a good track record of covering spreads after big wins (but this spot may be an exception)... What's obviously important here is that there's hardly any doubt that the AFC South will be Houston's to win or lose after they somewhat took the Flaming Thumbtacks out of the picture last week... They're 2-0 in the division & the loss by the Titans dropped them to 0-2 in the division... So while the Titans are ahead of the Jags in the standings, the Jags hold a slight edge (because they are 1-0 in the division with a 'straight up' win in week 1)...

I thoroughly fault Ravens offensive coordinator Cam Cameron for the Ravens abysmal performance on Mondy Night... Ray Rice 8 carries? Are YFKE?... The Jags were playing man coverage from the first snap & the Ravens young receivers were not able to get off the line of scrimmage...

I mean, in ways I can see it... Perhaps the game plan (by the Ravens) was to go totally vanilla on offense (thinking & knowing that defensively they could probably wreak havoc on rookie QB Blaine Gabbert and score a coupla three TD's on defense by way of turnovers... In some mystical way it never happened & it was MJD & Ray Rice that were fumbling the ball all over the field...

My guess here is that Houston DC Wade Phillips will want to get after Gabbert as much as possible (so while Gabbert escaped the Ravens at home, he may have his hands full with the Texans on the road)...

I'll make that my case... The Jaguars just don't have the weapons to go toe to toe with the Texans if they spot them any advantage at all... As well, I look for a better offensive gameplan (by the Texans) to utilize their biggest weapons (Arian Foster & a possibly returning Andre Johnson who can play physical & won't have the same problems as Torrey Smith did last week getting off the line of scrimmage)...

Go ahead Jags... Give it your best shot covering Andre Johnson man to man... I think (by virtue of the MNF upset), some public is convinced that the Jags have a shot here... Last I checked it was about 74%-26% of the $$ on Houston... Moreover, it's the 2nd 'lightest' bet on the board... If MNF had been a blowout for the Ravens, this game would probably be 90+% (meaning the line might even creep into double digits)...

TEXANS for (3 units)...

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (1:00 EDT)

Line: Panthers by 3.5

Mostly, thus far, this season, people have not gotten aboard the Cam Newton bandwagon...

I'm thankful that I shedded my "show me" opinion after week 1 (and have been on board both in game lines & in fantasy football)... All Cam Newton is (with the Panthers) is 5-1 against the spread & he's the #2 fantasy QB in points (trailing only Aaron Rodgers)...

It annoys me that I still am having difficulty TRADING Cam Newton from my fantasy team(s) as he's basically just a bench player as I have both Tom Brady & Drew Brees on my roster ahead of him... I've actually plattooned him several times (successfully)... Imagine 'sitting' Tom Brady...

Still... None of these yo-yo fantasy owners have caught on... So guess what? I'm fine with what I have... I'll muddle thru & see you all in the playoffs with the knowledge that even if one of my star players gets dinged up, I'm not going to be able to suit up a solid player come playoff time (while you're praying to the concussion & weather gods that come week 15, Aaron Rodgers didn't take a blow to the head in week 14, or that there's not a blizzard in Green Bay, or that the Packers don't have home field LOCKED UP by then & decide to start Matt Flynn)...

See you in the trenches...

Who knows, maybe Christian Ponder will be your back-up plan... He didn't do too badly last week in his first NFL start... I'm not sure what'll happen here... Carolina's defense is notoriously bad... They couldn't stop Tim Hightower last week (before he blew out his knee), & so I can't see how they're going to stop Adrian Peterson... Leslie Frazier hasn't impressed me as having all his gameplanning faculties available as a head coach, but if he learns to just hand the ball off to #28, the Vikings have a shot... Then again, I think Cam Newton has shown he can singlehandedly keep the Panthers in any game as well...

I still don't like the idea yet of LAYING points with the Panthers, but I'll stick with them while they're on a roll here... The Vikes may suffer a letdown after playing their toughest division rival (Packers) last week, & backing a rookie QB in his first road start is always risky...

I'll take the PANTHERS for (0 units)...

 New Orleans Saints at St. Louis Rams (1:00 EDT)

Line: Saints by 13.5

I always laugh when I see "13.5" as a line (especially in games where the public sees one team as epically bad & the other they just witnessed beating a team on a nationally televised game against a rival (Colts), that despite having a rough year, is a team that has not missed the playoffs in a decade...

"13.5" in this case means Vegas is begging you to lay the points... Most tale the bait (& the ratio as we speak is 93% backing the Saints)...

I'm not going to get all goofy with match-ups here because the Rams simply do not match up with the Saints in any aspect of the game... Further, it is questionable that Sam Bradford will even start for the Rams... Frankly, if he's not physically ready to go, I don't see why the Rams should risk starting him...

Backup QB AJ Feely has been around the league a long time & so it's not like you're tossing some rookie into the mix... The Saints like to bring pressure on defense but I think the pressure they put on Curtis Painter Sunday Night was amplified by the crowd noise in the Superdome... You'll have nothing but "quiet" in the RCA Dome so a slight advantage is taken away... Furthermore, the Rams just got finished playing the Cowboys (who also like to bring pressure)... I'm guessing they might be at least somewhat prepared...

Brandon Lloyd is now in his 2nd week after being re-united with Josh McDaniels... Say what you will, but McDaniels is a decent offensive mind (when he has the weapons)... In the pre-season, the Rams handled the Chiefs (who also bring pressure) rather easily & it's because the Rams had Danny Amendola available... They lost DA in the first week & now finally Have Brandon Lloyed to fill that slot... His stats & targets were decent last week even only after a few days of practice with the team...

The Saints next two games are a revenge match (vs. Tampa Bay) & then vs. the Falcons... I hate to really make a case that this is a 'trap game' for them, but it technically qualifies...

All in all, I'm going with my OCTOBER PICK OF THE MONTH TRIFECTA scenario here (meaning that you put 6 units on the COLTS, RAMS, & DOLPHINS & hope 2 of them come in)...

I'm going to go with the RAMS here for (6 units)...

 Arizona Cardinals at Baltimore Ravens (1:00 EDT)

Line: Ravens by 13

I said most of what I had to say (about the Ravens) in the Jacksonville write-up (above)...

Simply put, there's nothing wrong with the Ravens that getting the ball to Ray Rice won't solve... Cam Cameron made 4 mistakes last Monday Night...

1. He didn't get the ball to Rice early or often enough (forget the fumbles)...
2. He wasn't ready for the 'man press" coverage the Jags were using (& didn't make adjustments)
3. By halftime, when things weren't working, he ought to have changed pace a little by going perhaps with a 'hurry-up' offense style (instead - it was vanilla all the way)
4. By the 4th quarter, he ought have just put in Tyrod Taylor in for a series or two to see if he couldn't spark something

Then there were other errors... John Harbaugh should have have Billy Cundiff kick the ball out of the endzone with 2:02 remaining (John Gruden was RIGHT about that)... As it turns out, the Jags were stopped on 3 downs and the time read 1:43 when Josh Scobee lined up to kicj the 50+ yarder that put them ahead 12-7...

If you apply the same scenario to a drive that started on the Jags 20, then they're punting from their goal line with only a 9-7 lead... The Ravens would have probably gotten the punt on the 40 yard line or so (with 1:40 to play), & needed only 30 yards of field coverage to move into range to attempt a FG to put them ahead 10-9... That is easily within Billy Cundiff's range...

As I said before (& I even wrote this before the game in last weeks write-ups)...

- Vegas was taking a bath
- Carl Cheffers was ref
- The Ravens were getting every drive killed in the first half by Ray Rice fumbles (he NEVER fumbles), offsides & holding flags by Cheffers & crew, vanilla playcalling... In the 2nd half, the Jags get the ball first & had the drive EXTENDED by personal foul calls (helmet to helmet calls that, upon review, were CLEARLY clean hits), & even an 'ejection' by the refs of the Ravens best special teams player after he retaliated on someone who was inside his facemask)
- The clock management/onsides kick fiasco
- Jags win, Vegas is saved

Viva Las Vegas!

I'll take the RAVENS for (4 units)... Because in any case, the result accomplished yet another objective... If the Ravens had won handily, the lean on this game would have been 90+... Instead, it's a manageable 74%... The Cards are coming to M&T Bank Stadium on the dreaded 1PM time zone (for a West Coast team)... Their offensive line is probably the worst in football & the Ravens are likely in a foul mood...

 Miami Dolphins at New York Giants (1:00 EDT)

Line: Giants by 10

Just to get your mind in synch with where I'm going to go with this pick, remember that this game is the 3rd in the trilogy of OCTOBER PICK OF THE MONTH (together with Rams & Colts)...

To recap:

In NFL history, there have been only four teams to start 0-6 without covering the spread once:

1989 Cowboys
1991 Colts
1991 Bengals
1998 Redskins

The 2011 Rams and 2011 Dolphins are now on that list (depending on what spread you had in the Miami-Cleveland game)...

Note: the worst a team has ever started was 0-8 straight up and against the spread... The '91 Bengals did that before winning their ninth game...

If you like to go with trends (& the trend here is to hold your nose & take the winless teams ATS), then read on... If you think I'm nuts, skip this & go find the Patriots game (the Packers are off this week)...

Speaking of Packers... Another good trend is to FADE the undefeated teams... It worked as the Vikings managed a backdoor cover vs. the Pack last week (who had not failed to win a game by less than double digits all year - wink wink)... I had that result correct last week (but I didn't put any units on it because I'd kill myself losing $$ betting against Aaron Rodgers)... However, the last unbeated team (before there was just the Packers) was the Lions... I 'correctly' told you to fade them both against the 49ers & against the Falcons (and had multiple units assigned to those outcomes)...

Anyway, I'm not trying to make a case for the Dolphins here for any other reason than trends & history... But if it'll make you 'feel' any better, I'll throw out some ideas to hide the taste...

I had to laugh last week when the Dolphins were up 15-0 only to have Tim Tebow come back and tie the game in the last 3 minutes (then win in overtime)... That covered so many bases it isn't funny...

I've been telling you all year how I think John Elway is a jerk (& how I think he 'desperately' wants IN on the 'Suck for Luck' sweepstakes)... He also seems to hate Tim Tebow and wants him to fail at all costs... It was discussed by sportswriters all week that the playcalling by Denver for the first 57 minutes basically put the shackles on Tebow (it was arguably worse than the job Cam Cameron did with the Ravens)... Anyway, they finally let Tebow loose at the end & all he did was engineer 2 touchdowns...

In your face Elway... The 'win' for the Broncos put them 2 paces back in the "Suck for Luck" sweepstakes... I told you last week that I thought 2-14 would get the job done (& I think the Indianapolis Colts have their sights on that with their conniving owner Jim Irsay)... I told you I still don't see the Dolphins as being where Andrew Luck lands... It's prett evident that Tony Sparano will be fired by the end of the year... He was seen on the sidelines PLEADING with the refs on a call that if the Dolphins didn't win he was getting fired (it was a funny moment - destined for NFL films highlights)...

The thing is, the PLAYERS like Tony Sparano (so it's not like they're quitting on him)... It's just that they play in a division where wins are difficult & they're without a real QB... Many have focused on that point (no QB) and are therefore assigning Luck to go to the Dolphins... I don't see it that way... Others say Bill Cowher or John Gruden might take over in Miami... But think about it... First of all, I don't see John Gruden there... I think he 'likes' being up in the booth for MNF (& frankly he's pretty good at it)... I could see Cowher in the spot (but if he came in, it wouldn't be until after the season was over)... So if the Dolphins fire Sparano - they'll have to go with an interim coach to finish out the season... I'll take that scenario as it comes, but it's not on my radar screen yet... Moreover - if it becomes an inevitability, I see the Dolphins playing hard and trying to get some wins for TS before it's all over...

Lastly on the new head coach in Miami... Like I said, I don't think it'll be Gruden... I've also heard Urban Meyer's name called out (but that's a longshot to me given what he said about his health & family matters)... I can see Bill Cowher, but he's more likely to build a team from the offensive line (meaning Luck would still not be a fit in Miami & they would likely trade the spot if it fell to them)... The Rams already have Sam Bradford & need offensive line help to protect him (Bradford has taken the most sacks in the NFL this year)... Listen to me... LUCK is going to come down to the Colts vs. the Broncos dealing...

Anyway... The Dolphins have Vontae Davis back in the line-up which is a huge improvement... It's not like they don't have any weapons at all vs. the Giants... Hell - the Dolphins were just up here in the Meadowlands two weeks ago for a MNF game vs. the Jets & handled it pretty well (except for Matt Moore deciding to throw at Darelle Revis all night)... The Giants don't have nearly the same secondary as the jets, but they do have Justin Tuck back in the defensive line... The Dolphins aren't probably going anywhere on the ground & might turn the ball over several times yet still manage to stay in the game because the Giants may be rusty coming off the BYE week... This year the BYE weeks have been weird because the new CBA keeps the players out of team practices for more days... Last week both the Browns & Seahawks (both off BYE weeks battled to an epic 6-3 contest)... ZZZZZZZZZZ...

Anyway, I hope that makes you feel better... The Fins are my 3rd in the OPOTMonth trifecta (6 units on each team)...

I'll go with the DOLPHINS for (6 units)...

LATE GAMES

 Washington Redskins at Toronto Argonauts, Toronto Bills, Buffalo Bills (4:05 EDT)

Line: Bills by 6

At the gym where I go, there's a large screen TV in a lounge area in the Men's locker room (it's a pretty nice gym)... Anyway, I tend to spend a little relaxing time there before & after a workout or spending time in the waterfall hot tub... TAKE THAT ROMANS!...

Anyway, based on the time I'm usually there, NFL LIVE always seems to be on (& I get into a lot of conversations with various guys about games & such)... This week I mentioned to a guy that I'd take the Redskins against the Bills and he was REALLY surprised... I started listing the "why's" which basically revolved around...

- This was not a HOME game for the Bills (really), in that it's being played in Toronto... The Bills somehow seem to play worse in these games...
- Despite being 'ball hawkers', the Bills defense really isn't that good... Currently ranked around #27 in the NFL...
- The Bills have won a lot of close games (& mostly due to the fact that turnovers have kept them alive)... So despite the fact that Ryan Fitzpatrick has some decent numbers, & Fred Jackson is having a career year, it's really not enough to put them into 'elite' status just yet...

The public is still convinced otherwise (mostly because of the stats of Fred Jackson & Co. & the fact that the Bills beat the Patriots [at home] in a game where they miraculously manage to pick Tom Brady 4 times [one - a pick 6], another, a TD saver, & another which set them up for a score)... Nevertheless, the Bills barely managed to squeak out a win... They beat the Eagles (who are as hapless vs. the run as the Patriots)... Sounds great, but the Eagles suck... Oh & they also beat the Chiefs (while they were epically sucking & unprepared)...

They LOST to a pretty vanilla BENGALS team (who I believe is a lot like the Redskins)...

The Redskins have a solid defense & on offense they're in the process of changing QB's... John Beck is not that bad (his stats were not bad vs. Carolina last week... & despite the Bills propensity to ball hawk, they are much like the Panthers defense)...

I think this makes for a pretty cookie cutter gameplan for Mike Shanahan & Co... Take care of the ball on offense... The Skins lost Tim Hightower last week, but one good thing you can say about Shanahan is that he has replacements... I think Ryan Torain & Roy Helu can somewhat match the production...

I don't know who will win this game, but 6 points seems like an awful lot to give by yet another team (BILLS) who are coming off a BYE week and may be rusty... The Redskins need a win here to not dissolve in the NFC picture...

I'll go with the REDSKINS for (3 units)...

 Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos (4:05 EDT)

Line: Lions by 3

I mentioned above that I'd faded (successfully) the Lions the past two weeks... Much of that had to do with the "fade undefeated teams" principle... After a 2-0 start with that, it's OK to pull the plug on it a little...

I don't feel much either way about this matchup... Clearly the Broncos fans are going to be CRAZED to see their hero who they've been chanting for (& coming off a sizzling come from behind win last week), to take the field at Mile High...

I think it's one of those situations as the visitor that you just have to school your players to manage the onslaught & if you ca get by OK, you can play the rest of the game according to YOUR rules...

The book on the Lions this year is that despite Stafford & Megatron & all that, they actually get off to some pretty slow starts... You could see that coming all the way back in the Vikings & Cowboys games (where they had to erase 3 score defecits in the 2nd half)... Much of that was because both the Cowboys & Vikings imploded in those games... So it really wasn't just the statistical advantages (of fading undefeated teams) that were at play these past two weeks, it was also what was happeing on the field (for anyone willing to look past box scores & fantasy points)...

Worse for the Lions is they have Jahvid Best on the sidelines (which takes dimension out of their offense) & maybe even Matthew Stafford will be limited (or NOT PLAY) because of a 'anti-karmic' ankle injury suffered on the last play last week vs. the Falcons... Interestingly, the Lions main weapon here (Calvin Johnson) could be limited by having to go against Champ Bailey... Frankly, Bailey (as great as he was - probably is too old to hang with Megatron, but I'm sure he'll do his best & use his experience)... He's very injury prone of late, so it is also possible that in trying to stay with Megatron, he lands in the training room again...

I just don't know here... The Lions are coming off a BYE WEEK & tend to start slow... Couple that with the Broncos fans who will be crazed to see Tim Tebow & it's very likely that the Lions will find themselves in a hole early... Whenever I see all arrows pointing in the same direction though I get a little worried... Those always seem to be the moments where the opposite of logic occurs... The Broncos will be without Willis McGahee (who broke his hand last week)... The Lions aren't that stout against the run though but have a defense that can get to the QB... Everyone knows Tim Tebow can run (but the Dolphins sacked him 7 times last week)...

The public is on the Lions to the tune of 94% (but this is, by far, the least bet game on the board this weekend - probably because the status of Matthew Stafford is yet unclear)... I'm going to go ahead & side with the Lions (but if Vegas is getting hammered in the 1PM games I may switch this pick)...

I'll take the LIONS for (1 unit)...

 New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers (4:15 EDT)

Line: Patriots by 3

I probably don't have to say much here which is not obvious... So I'll say what is NOT obvious... I talked with the same 'dudes' in the lounge area about their perceptions on the Steelers... The consensus is that the Steelers are BACK to playing well... Ummm, yeah, but let's recap... The Steelers have beaten the hapless Seahawks (at Heinz Field)... They beat the hapless Titans, & barely beat the Jaguars & Colts (who, may I remind you, are WINLESS)... They got smothered by the Ravens & Texans...

The quick book on that is that they're struggling to beat quality teams... I'll leave all you geniuses to figure out whether or not Tom Brady & company are a quality team...

Historically, it has always seemed to me that the Patriots have had the Steelers number... Heinz Field is a tough place to play, but the Patriots have had no problems coming in and getting wins... Tom Brady always seems to play well & partly why I feel they do well is that they don't have to pound the rock to win (an aspect of the game that the Steelers are adept at stopping)...

The Steelers are known to like to pound the rock but they've found themselves (last year & this) with numerous problems on the offensive line & have really put the ball in the hands of Ben Rothleisberger to move the chains... Mike Wallace is having another outstanding year, & Antonio Brown & Emmanuel Sanders are solid as #2 & #3 guys... Heath Miller has been quiet at times, then shows up where you least expect him...

I often sat that the strength of Bill Belichick is that he tends to focus on the other teams MAIN WEAPON & try & shut that down... The problem with the Steelers is, what is that main weapon? Is it Mendenhall? Wallace? or Rothleisberger himself... The trouble with making Rothleisberger your focus is that you need a couple of hands to do it... He can make so many 'improvised' plays (& can burn you anyway)... That may be a danger, because the weakness of the Patriots is the play of their defensive secondary... If Rothleisberger can stay alive, SOMEBODY can make a play... Perhaps the hereoes of this game for the Steelers will be either Brown or Sanders...

All in all, I'm kind of predicting a 'shootout' here... I think both teams will be able to score & it will be a case of last man standing... The public is on the Patriots here to the tune of 80%... Naturally, I'd like to take the Steelers & the points at home but I still can't get my head wrapped around the fact that the Steelers haven't beat any 'good' teams yet...

I'll take the PATRIOTS for (1 unit)...

 Cleveland Browns at San Francisco 49ers (4:15 EDT)

Line: 49ers by 9.5

Game write-up to be posted by Sunday... Leaning towards a mid-unit play on 49ERS based on Early Game results...
I'll take the 49ERS for (2 units)...

 Cincinnati Bengals at Seattle Seahawks (4:15 EDT)

Line: Bengals by 3

Game write-up to be posted by Sunday... Leaning towards a ZERO unit play on BENGALS based on Early Game results...

I'll take the BENGALS for (0  units)...

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

 Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (8:20 EDT - NBC)

Line: Eagles by 3.5

Game write-up to be posted by Sunday... Leaning towards a ZERO unit play on the EAGLES based on Early Game results...


I'll take the EAGLES for (0 units)...

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (8:30 EDT - ESPN)

Line: Chargers by 3.5

Game write-up to be posted by Sunday... Leaning towards a mid-unit play on CHIEFS based on Sunday results...

I'll take the CHIEFS for (3 units)...